Clarks agenda is simple. Get ETS passed so she can move on to a UN job having demonstrated her dedication to the voodoo. Clark knows she is extremely unlikely to win and knows that Key would simply pass the same scheme as the Aussies. So she wants credit. Letting Peters stand down temporarily is the price.
There is nothing to the SFO investigation. Winnie will get off the hook. The money went to help out who it was supposed to help out and Liddell has already decided the scampi info is not credible enough. The Vela money is going to be found to not have had an influence. Far too difficult to pin down.
Peters big problem is that the donations were not declared. That is definitely a privileges issue but is probably time barred for penalties arising from non declaration. That will be enough to take his party below 5%. It stinks. Peters has made a career out of being whiter than white and eventually it was the cover up that got him. So he got money from Glenn, the Velas & Jones. Big deal. It was hiding this & denying it that caused Peters to blow his credibility
On reflection I do not believe that Ron Mark will take Rimutaka and get them back in. It would be funny if the 2.1% NZF had in polls dropped so that even if Mark did win he would not drag Winston back.
Key has done the right thing. It is a clear choice now between corruption and incompetence from the government and a change to calm integrity. Key played his only card at the perfect time. He will carry his currency skills through to government.